Uttoxeter Midlands National Analysis – NTF Members Post

Written on March 16, 2012 by Ben Aitken in members

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13 comments on “Uttoxeter Midlands National Analysis – NTF Members Post”

colinbarker on March 16, 2012 at 9:21 pm said:

Ben – just had to say thanks for Cheltenham – for me best ever results – keep up the good work

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Ben Aitken on March 17, 2012 at 8:28 am said:

Glad to hear that Colin

Cheers – Ben (NTF)

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stuart14 on March 16, 2012 at 9:24 pm said:

Same here. Thanks a lot Ben. Massively appreciated.

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Ben Aitken on March 17, 2012 at 8:28 am said:

Cheers Stuart

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RobNox on March 16, 2012 at 11:02 pm said:

Hi Ben – firstly, congratulations for sticking to your instincts about Synchronised. You recommended that in your ante post analysis a good while back and stuck to your guns since then.

I was interested in the comments you made when posting Thursday’s selections, after a tricky first 2 days at Cheltenham. You referred to the high number of shortlisted horses in certain races and perhaps reviewing your approach.

One thought I had was that in your trends analysis, you pick out a variety of trends and then allocate points for each trend that a horse matches. If you are looking to improve the performance of the trends analysis, then would it be worth considering applying a weighting to the trends, i.e. the strongest trends in a particular race count for more than the others.

I wouldn’t want to complicate what is a consistently profitable approach, just something you might want to consider as you look at identifying even more profitable angles.

Looking forward to many more winners!

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Ben Aitken on March 17, 2012 at 8:26 am said:

Cheers Rob

Synchronised will live long in the memory, superb race.

re. the trends. It is a possibility but over the long term the method is consistent and does produce healthy profits. The main thing I noted was that in certain races the method maybe isn’t as strong as in others. As I said I’m never keen to look at certain meetings in isolation but there some races that I maybe do need to tweak. I’ll review it all once the dust settles….

Cheers for the comment – Ben (NTF)

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petertshaw on March 17, 2012 at 8:53 am said:

Dear Ben, just to say what a pleasure it is to follow your analysis and selections. Good money made so far and I appreciate your hard work and expertise. Great call on Synchronised. Many thanks,
Peter Shaw.

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Ben Aitken on March 17, 2012 at 11:24 am said:

Thank you Peter. Your comment is much appreciated.

Cheers – Ben (NTF)

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Killick on March 17, 2012 at 10:28 am said:

well, thanks to you, I had a very good Cheltenham.
One happy bunny. It was a joy to see Tony in action.
Geoff K (killick)

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Ben Aitken on March 17, 2012 at 11:25 am said:

Thanks Geoff glad you had a good Cheltenham.

Regards – Ben (NTF)

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borghem on March 17, 2012 at 12:04 pm said:

Ben
Can i just add further praise as a first time subscriber. Everyone ends up with a “short list” of 6 for races such as the coral cup, county, grand annual etc so my take is that your approach does not need tinkering as clearly it works well in non handicaps at the festival. When the short list is long it is up to individuals to go with instinct and experience to narrow it down (or pass – except I cant remember passing a race at the festival in a while….). Trainer form remains huge over the 4 days (contrast gordon elliott last year and this year, or nicholls) and for me trainer form and course form remain the strongest narrowing down angle.
For 20 years i have been using speed ratings, trainer form and course form as pointers but it is clear to me that your analysis has huge value and I will continue to seek it out. Cape tribulation and synchronised paid for the dues many time over!!
Regards
Massimo (borghem)

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Ben Aitken on March 18, 2012 at 8:27 am said:

Hi Massimo

Many thanks for your comment. Very much appreciated.

You are correct, my methods do work overall, I think the point I was trying to make was that there are certain races where it sometimes maybe doesn’t quite work as well. However, as you say races like the Coral Cup & Grand Annual are bloody tricky races and you do need a lot of luck in-running at times. Once the season is over I’ll be taking a look back a couple of the races I think improvments could be made, however, in the main I won’t be changing my formula.

Thanks again for your comment and enjoy those Cape Tribulation & Synchro winnings

Ben (NTF)

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